Jumbo Package: Offensive production was down across the board in 2021 — but not as much as attendance

Matt Cashore-USA TODAY Sports

Alabama the nation’s best NIT team laid an absolute stinker in the Crimson Tide’s home finale last night, not even showing up in the second half over a very, very average Texas A&M team.

“They didn’t say anything tonight,” Oats said of his players. “They might have said some stuff before I got in there. I was hoping for them to say something. Nobody wanted to say anything. I think they’re embarrassed too. I’m embarrassed. They’re embarrassed.”

It’s not even a trend at this point: it’s just who and what this team is — they show up when they want to, are so arrogant as to think they can win based on their jersey, too many are uncoachable, there’s not a veteran leader, they loaf on defense and can get killed on the glass, they’re sloppy with the basketball...and when the shots don’t fall, they do all of these things at once.

We said after the Iona game that this team can beat anyone in country, and can also lose to them as well. Ten losses, and we’ve seen the same script 10 times.

When Alabama gets a 6-seed or something in the NCAA tournament, prepare yourself for that first-round exit to a hungry-as-hell midmajor that actually wants to be there. Even ignoring the fundamentals that Alabama fails at routinely, this team doesn’t do enough of the little things necessary to win tournament basketball: they’re not physical enough, they’re not tough enough; and they don’t have enough heart — all of those things are either in a Pelicans jersey or in Birmingham’s G-League team.

John Petty and Herb Jones apparently stored up all the effort that this team has been missing or does not care enough to exert.

If you want to read what Coach Oats had to say on the heels of another listless, lazy, despicable loss to a team that should have been run out of the building, 247 undertook that unenviable task.

AL.com brought up a good point: Last season, two Alabama starting quarterbacks had the shadow of Deshaun Watson looming over them like a masseuse in a strip mall rub-and-tug shack (Be careful if he drops the towel).

While Philly’s offense has been evolving to suit Hurts’ more limited skills set, the hope is that this season the Fish will finally install an offense that caters to what Tagovailoa can do. You don’t hire an offensive mind, modernize the scheme, and then have him throw Joe Burrow 3-yard checkdowns 35 times a game.

I am optimistic for Tua’s future, but I do think that Hurts just is what he has always been: a fiery, dynamic, athletic player with a very limited ability in the passing game. So, I don’t think Jalen is done looking over his shoulder just yet.

The Under-Armour Camp is underway for the NSD Classes of 2023 and 2024, and some Tide targets had a very good showing, including Mario Craver, an instate-receiver prospect from ‘Bama feeder, Clay-Chalkville:

After a breakout 2021 season, helping lead Clay (Ala.) Clay-Chalkville to a Class 6A state championship, Craver’s recruitment as an explosive wide receiver has taken off. The rising-junior again flashed reasons why on Sunday, pushing defenders down the field with more success than any wideout our staff witnessed during the afternoon. Craver puts pressure on defenders right out of the gates and punishes most who don’t get hands on him for a re-route, and he has strong ability on the back end as well — evident by a pretty one-handed grab in the back of the end zone to wrap up his day. Most of the SEC, including in-state Alabama and Auburn, are already prioritizing the receiver and return talent.

Much more here, for you recruitniks

ICYMI: Defenses had a far better showing last season than they have done so in almost a decade.

Either defenses clawed back some of the turf they had lost during the ongoing offensive revolution, or offenses leveled off. Perhaps it was a bit of both. Either way, offense took a collective step back in 2021.

Scoring, total offense and rushing offense were at their lowest averages in a decade. The declines were minimal but significant in context. Scoring was down to 28.51 points per team, lowest since the 2011 average of 28.29, according to NCAA statistics. Total offense dipped below 400 yards per game (397.95) for the first time since teams averaged 392.4 in 2011. Similarly, rushing was down to 163.8 yards per game, the lowest in 10 years.

The whys are a bit more complicated, but I covered those in-depth in a piece over on my companion site, What Broke Football? But the TL; DR based on the data seems to be what manifested in 2021 was a function of safer defenses leading to longer drives and increased opportunities for turnovers or stops, and that in turn corresponded with a drop-off in quarterback play. And you likely so it with your own eyes. QB play was seriously assy last season.

I fully admit that I do not know if 2021 was a one-off. Though I do suspect it is an emergent trend. We will have to simply wait and see if veteran play by guys like Bryce Young and CJ Stroud takes it back into astronomical territory, and whether the next crop of gunslingers — your Ewers, and Arches, and Tys — can reestablish the offensive dominance we’ve seen of late.

Speaking of falling off a cliff, CFB attendance was down for the 7th straight season, marking the lowest attendance since 1981.

Not to belabor the obvious here, but last year was the 7th season of the College Football Playoff. Am I laying the decline solely at the feet of the CFB? Of course, not; there are many reasons for the decline. But it has cheapened the season. If Home Town U plays hard enough teams (or has enough media perception that its schedule is tough), then you get a built-in cushion.

And while expansion has been staved off for now, adding even more games to the mix is only going to further dilute and cheapen the product. But, hey, this is the world you wanted, not us.

Jamo’s rehab is going a lot better than anyone expected. “He’s ahead of schedule six weeks out of surgery and it’s been three weeks without crutches and two weeks without a brace.”

He also said that he’s the fastest player in the draft (likely true), and that Alabama would have beaten Georgia with him in the game (maybe; the cheap shot that took Phil Mathis out of the contest, opening up UGA’s running game was every bit as critical as Jamo’s loss).

That’s it. Just not much out there ATM. We covered Alabama’s dominant win over Troy on the diamond, and Alabama’s dismal loss to Aggie. Spring Football is just around the corner, so this is very much the deep breath before the plunge into the 2022 season begins in earnest.

Comments

I blame Bill O’Brien for the overall decline of offenses

Right Airwreck?

I think Marrone is more to blame for the season.

Poor shitty O-Line play plagued the Tide all year. Injuries near the end of the season ultimately doomed the Tide. Still amazing they made it as far as they did considering the deck being stacked against them.

Alabama the nation’s best NIT team

Uhh, excuse me?! I'll have you know that we are going to be the nation's worst NCAA tourney team, TYVM!!

Deshaun Watson looming over them like a masseuse in a strip mall rub-and-tug shack

Well, at least Robert Kraft has the good judgement to avoid such things.

I mean, uhh, avoiding speculation about Deshaun.

I find it incredible that Watson collected his salary without playing a single minute in 2021.

Watson "played" lots of minutes

It’s what got him in trouble.

I think some offensive decline has to be attributed to

the continuing decline of offensive line play. Some things trickle up in sports and one of those is the "7 on 7" nature of high school football. Fewer and fewer programs play a traditional, smash mouth offense or one that requires linemen to sustain pass blocking. Terrible line play is not only in college but it is now rampant in the NFL. There’s a dominant guy here or there but there’s a lot more "there’s a big guy, put him on the line" out there.

I think you're seeing it at QB too

It’s easy to win in high school by just putting your best athlete at QB and letting him do his thing without having to actually teach him the position. That used to work in college too (Cam Newton, anyone?) But college defenses are catching up.

If it turns out to be a one-off type of year with these stats,

I think some blame will be laid at the lack of Spring football in 2020, resulting in a lot of players not getting the initial development during those very important early months.
Alabama’s line also got very little from backups in the 2020 season, which I think has been said on here before. There wasn’t as much development from the younger guys as a result.

Sooner or later, Oats’s free pass has to be checked

This year has not been the best coaching job. He needs a lot of growth as a head coach just as much as some of these players need a reality check.

Oats’s free pass has to be checked

What does this mean?? Yes, we’re all frustrated, but again — reality check — we are solidly in the tournament with likely a top 6 seed for the second year in a row. That was a dream just a few years ago.

Yes, we all hope that Oats learns from this.

It means the talent on this team has

underachieved, he doesn’t know he has timeouts, he started yet another group last night, and there have been some baffling approaches this year but everybody blames the "lazy player" but no one says anything about the one ultimately responsible, the head coach.

No one says anything about it?

Are you new here? Have you even read the comments on this thread? Did you read my response?

Are you kidding me?

He has us going to the NCAAT for the second year in a row, we beat a handful of top ranked teams along the way, and our recruiting has been fantastic.

Yep, wins over two of the current top three ranked teams.

and losses to some of the bottom teams

so it evens out, right?

CNO needs to read Saban's book

…there’s not a veteran leader….

Really boils down to this statement for Bama BB this season. Saban wrote one of the best books ever on leadership, imho. It’s built over time, through the players and in the offseason. CNO is in his third-year — No excuse for not having built a series of leaders that are primed to take over each offseason. Saban has leaders of each unit, a leadership committee, classes & special meetings for those leaders and all discipline is handed out (recommended) by the committee. It’s not magical, and it’s not luck. It’s a skill that needs to be developed. So frustrating.

Yeah, I hope CNO has a powwow (are we still allowed to use that word??) with Saban and takes some notes.

Jesus people

We are going to the NCAAT for the second year in a row. We swept the SEC titles last season. We have a top 5 recruiting class.

Oats is doing as fine a job as any reasonable person could’ve hoped for.

Get a grip fellas.

Dynasty's over. And the other dynasty, too.

We’re domed

"Domed?"

What are we, fucking Notre Dame now?

What are we, fucking Notre Dame now?

No, we’re not altar boys.

I wrote the second part without looking

It up! Rookie shit
Maybe jd groomed
Definitely gurley
A few others……
Nate knows the issue , just different scales with different levels. Much more turnover to deal with vs talent, expectations, etc

That happened in 2020 - Mac and Smitty f'd em up real good!

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